Fifty-two Republicans and Forty-Eight Democrats belong to the most exclusive club in the world… the United States Senate. The Senate is home to one hundred members, two from each state. The idea of a Senate existing in a bicameral legislature was a compromise to protect the nation from the whims of an emotional public represented via apportionment by the House of Representatives.
There was concern that the election of Senators by state legislatures, and their six-year terms, would distance them from the people and turn them into an overly aristocratic body like that of the House of Lords in Parliamentary England. Instead, they became an active and deliberative body whose passion was so great, that fist fights broke out periodically on the floor. But the Senate of 19th Century, the true rulers of the nation for much of its history, saw a decline in prominence with the rise of executive power witnessed in modern times.
It was the 17th Amendment that brought us the popular election of senators by the qualified electors of their respective states in 1913. This Amendment has arguably turned the Senate from its purer purpose of deliberation and wise council to the polarized partisan body we have today. The distance from its origins as keepers of our republic aren’t completely lost. Elections have served to preserve state interests in our federalist systems, but I wonder by how much we could argue how many of those local issues have been compromised in lieu of the partisan national narrative.
A new paper–based on a large, novel data set–finds clergy tend to be way more partisan than their parishioners:https://t.co/jUVQkFe3yV
— Emma Green (@emmaogreen) June 13, 2017
And this brings us to the issues of 2018 where we have 34 Senate elections in; Alabama, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Hawaii, Indiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, New Jersey, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, West Virginia and Wyoming.
Sean Spicer on the lawsuit against Trump: “It is not hard to conclude that partisan politics” may be the motivation https://t.co/iJh9Qu62W1
— CNN (@CNN) June 12, 2017
Some say that the off-year elections are traditionally a mandate on the success of the President. If the president is heading in a direction the people are happy with, we see gains in the off-year. But, history has not always been so kind as to give our Commander-in-Chief’s a pass.
FDR was so unpopular he was asked to stop campaigning for Democrats. We can’t forget the mandate on Clinton and Obama who in their presidencies lost the Congress. Unlike the house, which consists mostly of gerrymandered districts with few true toss-ups, the Democrats will be playing defense in 25 of 34 contests. They are more vulnerable now than in the Republican resurgence of 1938 that saw FDR on the sidelines.
As partisans though , the Democrats have continued to fail. Perhaps we’ve held too high a standard for the modern successors of Cato and the Roman Republic to believe they would actually accomplish anything at all. The Democrats campaign messaging next year will continue to consist of their moral guardianship of the socialist state; holy atheistic crusaders out to protect our nation from those who would autocratically rubberstamp the tyrannical King Trump. And they’ll do it in layman’s terms so simple that they could be written in crayon.
I don’t know, a midterm campaign message of “Let’s not ruffle any feathers” sounds like a winner to me https://t.co/zBTnftNsIL
— Joe 🌹 (@Safety_Pants) June 11, 2017
Republicans will do what they always do. Talk policy and not people. That’s the greatest sin of Rrepublicans and ultimately why Trump Republicans are a breed of “fuck you” and “to hell with the government” types who have felt compelled to actually read the constitution but don’t really like the Republican establishment. How do the Rrepublicans get the Tea Party they’ve pushed out, the Trump Republicans they’ve called stupid, and the minorities they’ve only pretended to care about out to vote?
To make next year’s Senate elections even more interesting, the Democratic party is largely in shambles. After destroying their most popular nominee in a generation, Bernie Sanders, in a conspiracy not quite as elaborate as the assassination of Kennedy but certainly as scandalous as the Pentagon Papers, they have lost what little credibility they have. Their attempts to talk about Russia instead of solutions for everyday American’s is going to continue to dig their grave that much deeper.
As I was quoted in Western Journalism a couple weeks ago, the conversation there was about the CBO’s numbers and the health care debate. My point when being interviewed was that unlike the media who are obsessed with non-scandal infotainment, the American public largely tunes out the issues that seem to be arising inside the beltway. To keep it simple, American’s only sort-of care about Russia and the lack of voter outrage is a perfect example of the liberal media’s dwindling effect on the American public.
The debate over health care is red hot in Congress, but only behind closed doors. https://t.co/nu4MRuseDB
— PBS NewsHour (@NewsHour) June 13, 2017
Going up to bat in red states is going to be a challenge for Democrats next year because they don’t really stand for anything except allowing more terrorists into our country, amnesty, boys in girls locker rooms, and abortion-on-demand. Even though they have Americans who agree with them (they don’t have 46 seats for nothing), can they even get their electorate to vote? They certainly didn’t come out for Hillary when the future of liberalism was at stake and their own politically correct version of a race-neutral femini-nazi was on the ballot, so why would they come out to stop the Ruskies from taking over?
The strongest campaigns will be waged in states Trump won, like Ohio, Florida, Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota and Pennsylvania. I’m hesitantly putting West Virginia in the column because Joe Manchin is a traditional conservative Democrat. Senator Manchin has supported conservative causes and even voted to defund planned parenthood. He may use an ass for a banner, but he’s basically in our camp. Why waste money there? We’ve got 24 more seats to conquer several of which are held by Democrats where Trump won by double digits. How out of touch are those guys?
To make things even easier on the Republican Senators up next year, most of them are in red states where Democrats couldn’t compete if they wanted to. I’d love to be sitting at the SRCC right now helping to carve up the Democrats we’ll be eating for dinner next November.
Our strongest case for taking the Senate, as conservatives, isn’t to stop something per our tradition, it’s to continue the Trump Revolution and to see it through. When the ninth circuit ruled yesterday that Trump had exceeded the authority congress had given him with the travel ban, a pro-Trump congress would have immediately convened and given him whatever authority he needed! When it was time to get his nominees in place so that our government could function properly, a pro-Trump Senate could have approved all of them expeditiously.
Pro-Trump group gears up to push president’s agenda https://t.co/4fcu03Lmn7
— Capital Journal (@WSJPolitics) May 17, 2017
We’ll begin to see Senate candidates make their announcements over the summer depending on their primary election dates. Some late primary states, like Alabama and Ohio (May and June respectively) might see announcements as late as November while earlier primary states such as Wisconsin and Louisiana (with February and March contests), within the coming weeks.
Keep checking in on my blog for updates on the 2018 contests.